Assuming that they last more than a week or two each...
And even then, most of them were created by the newest of noobs(except for Kyar and Goa\'uld), so I don\'t think any of these factions have a hope of becoming the next DFN/RA/LI/Vaygr/Euro-corp.
EDIT: Separatists have a chance, but the others don\'t.